This response was drafted internally here and sent out to folks who were worried about the state of the global economy and how that fared for the entertainment industry. Please, if you are interested, take the time to read this very informative and positive outlook. Even though it was written for Animation Mentor students I think anyone in the animation industry and students at other schools will be able to take comfort in these words. Enjoy!==============================================
Dear Animation Mentor Students:
Like you, we’ve been hearing the scary news about the economic downturn and how it is impacting financial markets across the globe.
Some of you have asked us how this is impacting the animation industry and wondered whether or not there will be any jobs available when you graduate.
While we can’t predict the future, there are certain facts that we do know.
1. We have an excellent relationship with the animation industry; film, television, advertising, gaming, and more.
2. We are still receiving requests from studios all around the world for well educated, character animators.
3. There are over 25 games and movies scheduled to be released in 2009 and 39 in 2010 from U.S. based companies alone. This does not include television or advertising.
4. Our alumni enjoy a 78% placement rate. That’s one of the highest in the industry. And we continue to have a department dedicated to creating relationships with new studios to increase that number.
So we feel, the answer is YES – there will be jobs. And now is a great time to get an education and ride out a year of slow growth while the rest of the economy gets back on track.
Now for some Fun Facts that Should Make your Day:
1) According to an October report, titled World Economic Outlook, created by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), an international organization of 195 member countries established to promote international monetary cooperation, stability and economic growth, we are experiencing a slow down in growth from 5% in 2007, to 3.9% in 2008 and 3% in 2009. Although financial and real estate markets have been hard hit, the balance sheets of non-financial companies in the US and Western Europe look to be a source of resilience for the economy. There is an anticipated recovery of the economy in late 2009.
2) According to an article called Is Your Job Recession Proof? on CareerBuilder.com, employers are still hiring and certain industries not only survive, but thrive in hard times. In fact 32% of those surveyed plan to continue adding staff.
3) Even better news for future animators: the two main industries we work in are virtually recession proof: Gaming and Movies.
4) The movie industry has historically been recession-proof because even during bad times people need entertainment. They still date, spend time with family and friends, and movies at an average price of $7 per ticket are an outstanding entertainment value. After the stock market crash of 1929, attendance levels at movies grew by 58%.
According to John Fithian, president of the National Association of Theatre Owners in America, in a recent interview in these pages, the numbers don’t lie. “In the past four decades there have been seven recession years in this country, and the box office has climbed strongly in five of those years,” he said. The strongest of those years was the most recent, in 2001, when US box office receipts rose by $650 million. (Source: The Times, October 16, How Will the Recession Affect Film?)
5) Just like movies, games also provide an inexpensive entertainment experience. According to an October 16 article in Reuters, titled Video Game Sales Still Strong, Despite Economic Tough Times, the video game industry is thriving.
Professor of media and technology at NYU Stern, Al Lieberman said although luxuries are often the first to go during tough economic times, the video gaming industry continues to do well.
“There have been many recessions before and there are certain things, certain elements and sections, sectors of the economy that survive straight through and electronic games is one of those," said Lieberman.
Dan Ackerman of CNET.COM said people are turning to video games for
light relief, like they turned to movies, during the Great Depression. "They say that video games are essentially a recession-proof product, kind of like movies were during the Great Depression where people still wanted to be entertained," Ackerman told Reuters.
The industry made 10 billion dollars (USD) last year, and is expected
to make 14 billion annually by the year 2012.
Although there is plenty of bad news to be heard about certain industries, we feel the future of entertainment and gaming continues to be bright. We encourage you to stay focused on your studies and concentrate on becoming the best animator you can be. There will continue to be a demand for great animators as these two recession-proof industries continue to grow.
Best regards and good luck with your studies!
If you have any further questions or concerns we encourage you to contact your student care representative.
The Team at AnimationMentor.com
I'd have to disagree with the comments made about gaming being recession proof. If you look at all of the layoffs and studio closures that have occured in the last couple of months it's obvious that the gaming companies that are surviving are bunkering down to weather the storm. EA cut 6% of it's workforce while THQ dissolved 5 of it's own developers and there are many more accounts of people in games losing their jobs.
ReplyDeleteObviously it's in your best interest to try and be positive about the way the ecconomy is going but I don't think ignoring what has been happening and saying that gaming and movies are recession proof to try and avoid a drop in attendance is a smart idea.
hi Josh
ReplyDeletei doubt bobby had saving his school only in mind while posting this article, and i didn't find him to be ignoring things for the sake of AM attendees. but calling the condition of the games industry based off of two large publishers' layoffs is definitely a point worth bringing up; that is slightly jarring news to me that i would not have known otherwise.
were you one of the one's terminated from EA or THQ? you seem a little cranky.
being on a finite planet it seems wrong that constant "growth" is the measure of a healthy economy
ReplyDeleteHistory shows that during an economic downturn the entertainment industry does well. The reason, people need to be entertained even more than before. I believe the box office will take a hit but the rental market will pop as families look for value.
ReplyDeleteI'm wondering if you'll see the nature of the stories change to something more uplifting as apposed to dark and depressing story lines.
Thanks for the saucy comments. Nice to get some opinions thrown in the mix as that is all this really is, including the original article.
ReplyDeleteThe best way to look at the future is to observe the past. Of course companies need to tighten down the hatches during rough times, and perhaps you are right in your observation of this being too overly simplified.
Josh, I'd be curios to know more about studio closures that you are alluding to. From our end we are simply not seeing that, at least with the studios we deal with. Public companies such as THX and EA need to do what they must to please their shareholders and that IS a result of the economy, however we're not seeing much from the smaller studios, nor in the feature film industry.
We did see one small game company go out, but that was due to deadline delinquency time and again with the publisher so they dropped them and... poof. However, that is business and not economy. Other than that I'd be curious to know more.
About, "saving the school" or "boosting enrollment," however always something we are trying to do, was not my intention in posting this article. Try as we might to put a positive message into the world during a tumultuous time as when people put their dreams on hold they can often times be derailed forever.
This blog post was meant for information purposes only. So take what you want, leave the rest, breathe and enjoy.
Hi Steveo, Bobby,
ReplyDeleteFirstly I'm not one of the numerous people let go from those game studios I mentioned and no I'm not cranky about anything that's happened at these studios, they are businesses and as need to make a profit to keep shareholders happy.
Obviously AM.com is THE place for online animation training and the impressive placement rate is not something to be sniffed at.
I was simply pointing out that due to the changing market in games and the US economy in general, gaming is not the recession proof castle it was thought to be.
Here's a link to the THQ layoffs:
http://kotaku.com/5075338/thq-ceo-+-difficult-economic-environment-to-blame-for-layoffs
and the EA cuts:
http://kotaku.com/5071439/electronic-arts-lays-off-six-hundred
So while movies are still being made and games are still being sold, there is a slow down in the market (due to either the recession or because publishers haven't made as many good games this last year).
At the moment the money is there to finance the current slate of movies but once that runs it's course and if the market hasn't picked back up again movies will see lower budgets and possibly less CG.
So I probably was being a bit synical about the reason for this post and I do believe that a positive outlook is a good thing to have, but it just felt like you were saying that there really were no problems with the industry at the moment even though there are Publishers making large amounts of layoffs and studio closures.
I really do hope that it's not because of any impending crash they can see but all the articles I've read so far seem to conclude that they are bunkering down to weather the storm.
That being said, if I could afford AM I would totally enroll this second because the students that come out are a testiment to AM's outstanding teachers, but I just don't have the funds so I've had to find my training elsewhere.
Interestingly enough, I've just read an article in the Lex Column at the Financial Times re this:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.ft.com/cms/s/1/95162d62-bb9d-11dd-ae97-0000779fd18c.html
I think you need to be logged in to read the full article, but the synopsis says:
"Data from the research company NPD shows that US sales of computer games software in October were
a third higher than the year before. While most retailers were wondering what happened to their customers, games players carried on regardless."
Thanks for an great blog.
Sheena Bruce
PS. I should have added:
ReplyDeleteI live in South Africa and I don't work in animation / games, so I have no idea what is happening in the US regarding layoffs and studio closures.
I should also have added that, according to Morgan Stanley, there was a lag of two or three years between the 2001 recession and stagnation in the US video game market.
Sheena Bruce
Josh, no harm done at all. Nothing wrong with sharing your thoughts. I appreciate that very much and am sorry to hear about your layoff especially at this time of the year.
ReplyDeleteI'm a big personal development nutzo and just got this audio from Tony Robbins which I thought was amazing and may be helpful for those who are living their lives right now with fear. We all may need to make some cuts in our lives, spending, jobs etc but we should never lose our GUSTO for life. I hope this helps and inspires you through some potentially trying times (even if you only listen to the first 3 -4 minutes it might be worth it):
http://www.tonyrobbins.com/holidays/default.aspx?ec=136678
Thank you for the encouragement, Bobby! I am a composer/musician and I definitely appreciate an optimistic perspective on the entertainment business.
ReplyDeleteI should preface this by saying I'm a current student at Animation Mentor.
ReplyDeleteIf people are considering not doing animation because they think there might not be jobs available - then that's sad.
Someone said: "If you can consider quitting your art, then you should".
The more I animate and the more I learn makes me believe that I genuinely have to be doing this.
For my health. For my sanity. For my life.
Jobs or no jobs.
You can't choose who you fall in love with - and you can't choose your passions.
If your passion is for art - then go for it.
If you're chasing the dollar - then you probably wouldn't make it as an artist anyway.
Thank you Bobby! You read my mind. I need to hear that. :)
ReplyDeleteThe economy just doesn’t affect jobs but it affects education as well. I was accepted to Animation Mentor and a good friend of mine lend me the 500 down for tuition so I could start in January, but because I haven’t worked in a year because of my current school, the Art Institute, which I graduate from this month, I had to find a co-signer.
ReplyDeleteMy email said if I did not have a credit score of 720, I would need a co-signer. It was easier getting my $80,000 loans by myself then trying to find a credit worthy co-signer. So unfortunately I won’t be attending Animation Mentor which was a dream come true for me for a while. This really sucks for many future (hopeful) students that want to go if they cannot get the loans needed to help make their dream comes true.
I will continue my education on my own, and I won’t give up till my dream of becoming an animator comes true, but I feel sad for other people who might have their dream shattered of coming to AM or any other art school for the same reason as me and just give up.
In the past the conventional thinking has been that games and entertainment are fairly recession proof, but some of the latest news is pretty darn scary. In addition to the already mentioned EA, Midway is laying 25% of its staff, Factor5 today laid off half its staff, NCSoft closed it's Austin studio, THQ had layoffs, High Moon layoffs, Flagship closed, and there are others that I have forgotten. I myself was laid off from Lucas Arts with about 60-80 other people. And this is all within the last six months, and I am sure more are to come.
ReplyDeleteI'm not saying there are not jobs out there, but I am pretty sure the gaming industry isn't as fertile as it was a year or two ago, there are a ton of unemployed talented, and experienced artists out there right now. And a lot of studios are driven by investment capital, and right now those sources are drying up or tightening the belts, as in the case of Brash entertainment.
The theme is, I don't think anything is recession proof at the moment.
i am an animator and was laid off last month from thq. i went through class 4 of AM and working hard to get my reel as polished as possible. i'm not cranky but i am concerned. oh, i also bought a house two months before being let go. JOY!!!!
ReplyDelete"This really sucks for many future (hopeful) students that want to go if they cannot get the loans needed to help make their dream comes true.
ReplyDeleteI will continue my education on my own, and I won’t give up till my dream of becoming an animator comes true, but I feel sad for other people who might have their dream shattered of coming to AM or any other art school for the same reason as me and just give up.=====
yes money is a factor. I know and I've seen the talent that has gone in and left AM. to me money is also a factor to attend AM, at this point I don't know how eager sallie mae is to give out a loan, to students. Nevertheless I see various job postings for animators at many of the events I attend. sucks I don't have a lot of animation experience.
Pursuing what I have always love will keep me from going insane. In times like these money is motivational purpose for some. For other its the pursue of the art and the joy that comes out from creating an animation, the money is just an added bonus per se.
Anyhow, interesting article, and for those students who lack the funds to attend AM, lets keep animating with what we have and pursue that dream of creating life. Its a tough journey and even tougher in the current economy, but you are not at it alone.
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